Logano grabs pole for Nationwide race at Homestead

Autoracing Betting Lines

11/15/2008 - Homestead, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joey Logano won the pole for Saturday's Nationwide Series season-ending Ford 300 at the Homestead-Miami Speedway. The No.20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota driver rounded the 1.5-mile oval in 31.962 seconds (168.951 m.p.h.).

The pole victory was Logano's third in 19 career Nationwide starts.

"I'm pretty excited about that," Logano said. "It was a good pick me up, and we needed that as a race team. We're going to go out there tonight and try to stay up there and get that (owner) championship."

The JGR No.20 team currently holds a 28-point owner lead over the Richard Childress Racing No.2 team with Clint Bowyer as their driver.

Logano, the 18-year-old NASCAR phenom, will move over to the Sprint Cup Series next year to replace Tony Stewart in Gibbs' No.20 car, as Stewart becomes co- owner and driver at Stewart-Haas Racing.

Starting alongside Logano will be Carl Edwards, who posted a time of 32.114 seconds. Edwards enters the season-finale 56 points behind Bowyer in the driver championship standings.

"Joey did a great job, and that was a great lap," Edwards said. "My Save-A-Lot crew did a really good job, but I probably didn't do the best job driving it. I think it's going to be a good race car."

Bowyer will start 13th.

"We've just been loose from the beginning," Bowyer said. "I think we'll be good in the race though. We qualified terrible at Texas, but drove up there pretty quick. Hopefully we can do the same thing here."

If Bowyer finishes eighth or better at Homestead, regardless of Edwards' performance, he will clinch his first series championship.

Bowyer finished 39th in his first Nationwide race at Homestead in 2004, but has finished eighth, ninth and 11th in the last three races here.

Edwards has finished second and fourth in his last two Nationwide events in South Florida.

David Ragan and Jeff Burton will start on the second row, while Jamie McMurray and Brad Keselowski will make up row three.

Dale Earnhardt, Jr., Denny Hamlin, Bryan Clauson and Mike Bliss will start seventh through 10th, respectively.

The green flag is scheduled to drop Saturday around 4:30 p.m. (et).

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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