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12/14/2011 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Owner Rick Porter has posted an update of the status of his leading thoroughbred Havre de Grace. On his stable's website, rockportharbor.com, Porter reports that the four-year-old filly is gradually getting prepared for her 2012 campaign. She is stabled at Vinery Racing's Florida location near Ocala.
"Dr Bramlage has changed his plan for Havre de Grace and she is now under tack walking the shedrow but will start jogging next week if not before," Porter advised. "She will continue to just jog and spend time daily on the aqua tread as well as spend lots of time in a small paddock. This is what she did last year and it sure worked well. She is still scheduled to go to Larry (trainer Jones) on or about January 6th."
Jones is based at Fair Grounds in New Orleans this winter, but Havre de Grace is expected to start in the Apple Blossom Handicap at Oaklawn Park, a race she won this year.
Havre de Grace, the top vote getter in the final NTRA Poll of 2011, is expected to be voted the Eclipse Award as 2011 champion older female. With her impressive record for the year she is also considered a favorite as Horse of the Year.
The filly won five of seven starts in 2011 for more than $1.6 million. Along with the Apple Blossom she won the Azeri, Obeah, Woodward and Beldame. Her only losses were by a nose to Blind Luck in the Delaware Handicap and a fourth in the Breeders' Cup Classic.
<< Schwarzer sidelined by neck injury
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Fulham announced on Wednesday that the club
will be without goalkeeper Mark Schwarzer for at least a month because of a
neck injury.
The Australia international suffered the problem in Fulham's 2-0 d
<< Cowboys place Kitna on IR
Irving, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Dallas Cowboys have placed quarterback Jon
Kitna on injured reserve because of a back problem.
Kitna appeared in three games for the Cowboys this season, but had been
inactive the past four weeks
<< Killeen wins Nationwide Tour Player of the Year
Ponte Vedra Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - J.J. Killeen was named Nationwide
Tour Player of the Year in a vote of his peers the tour announced Wednesday.
"I'm elated to have been named 2011 Nationwide Tour Player of the Year by my
peers,
<< Milan's Yepes to undergo ankle surgery
Milan, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - AC Milan defender Mario Yepes is expected to
miss the next 10 weeks after undergoing ankle surgery.
The Colombian sustained ligament damage in his ankle during Milan's 2-2 draw
with Bologna on Sunday and h
Ryan, Pierre-Paul, Baldwin named NFC weekly winners >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan, New
York Giants defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul and Seattle's Doug Baldwin have
been selected as the NFC's top players for Week 14 of the NFL season.
Ryan threw
Broncos' Prater among AFC players of the week >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After drilling a pair of clutch 50-yard kicks,
the Denver Broncos' Matt Prater has been named an AFC player of the week.
Prater won the special teams award after playing a big role in the Broncos'
13-10 ov
No practice for Tuck, Umenyiora >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Giants will start
preparations for this week's game against Washington without defensive linemen
Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora, while center David Baas is also not yet ready
to prac
Crennel benches Palko; Orton or Stanzi to start Sunday >>
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kansas City Chiefs interim head coach Romeo
Crennel has decided to bench quarterback Tyler Palko and will start either
Kyle Orton or Ricky Stanzi for Sunday's game against undefeated Green Bay.
Crennel
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
To visit this internet sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting and World Series odds.
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